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Control of Senate 2022
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[h1][b]Trump Endorses Parnell In Pennsylvania Senate Race[/b][/h1] [link=https://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2021/09/01/Trump-endorses-Parnell-in-Pennsylvania-Senate-race/stories/202109010126]https://www.post-gazette….e/stories/202109010126[/link]
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: Mr. Trumps endorsement was seen as a potential game-changer among Republican insiders, as the former president continues to be popular among GOP voters. But some analysts had urged Republican candidates to be careful with how close they align with Mr. Trump if they want to win a general election in a state that Democrat Joe Biden carried in 2020.The former president, in his statement endorsing Mr. Parnell for the Senate, called back to that Congressional race and said Mr. Parnell got robbed in what he deemed the 2020 Presidential Election Scam. But there was never any evidence that suggested Mr. Parnell beat Mr. Lamb, and his bid to bar many mail-in votes from the states certified tallies enough to declare him the winner were ultimately rejected by the courts.
Mr. Parnells military service was at the heart of the former presidents endorsement, and has been one of his main pitches during this campaign. He spent more than a year commanding a 40-man infantry platoon in the Hindu Kush mountains a combat tour along Afghanistans eastern frontier that he documented in his book, Outlaw Platoon. He was wounded in action and medically discharged following his deployment in 2006.
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[h1][b]Sununu Leads In Possible NH Senate Match Up[/b][/h1]
A new [link=https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/saintanselmpollaug312021-1630446517.pdf]Saint Anselm poll[/link] in New Hampshire shows Gov. Chris Sununu (R) with a 49% to 41% lead over Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) in a potential 2022 matchup for Senate.
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John Fetterman should win PA if they have any sense. I have family back around Johnstown. Theres places there that have been poor for 200 years but darn if they dont love them some Trump. Move on.
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Quote from dergon
[h1][b]Trump Endorses Parnell In Pennsylvania Senate Race[/b][/h1]
Quote from DICOM_Dan
John Fetterman should win PA if they have any sense. I have family back around Johnstown. Theres places there that have been poor for 200 years but darn if they dont love them some Trump. Move on.
only the best people ….
[b]Sean Parnells Wife Sought Protective Orders Against Him[/b][/h1]
Pennsylvania U.S. Senate candidate Sean Parnells (R) wife sought protective orders against him in 2017 and 2018, which primary rival Jeff Bartos (R) says make him unelectable, the [link=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/sean-parnell-protection-from-abuse-orders-jeff-bartos-20210907.html]Philadelphia Inquirer[/link] reports.
Word of the protective orders has been quietly simmering in political and media circles for months, but Bartos made them public for the first time in an interview Tuesday. He planned to release a memo Wednesday on the matter and why it should steer Republicans away from Parnell.
The highly personal line of attack from Bartos came days after Parnell [link=https://politicalwire.com/2021/09/02/trump-endorses-parnell-in-pennsylvania-senate-race/]secured a coveted endorsement[/link] from former President Donald Trump in the Republican primary. -
Quote from dergon
[link=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-senate-sununus-vital-choice/]Larry Sabatos Crystal Ball[/link]: Gov. Chris Sununus (R) decision as to whether he will challenge Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) could be the most important candidate choice of the 2022 cycle.
While Republicans will target vulnerable Democrats in states that are more competitive at the presidential level than New Hampshire, they very well may struggle to produce a candidate in those states as proven as Sununu.
Quote from dergon
[h1][b]Sununu Leads In Possible NH Senate Match Up[/b][/h1]
A new [link=https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/saintanselmpollaug312021-1630446517.pdf]Saint Anselm poll[/link] in New Hampshire shows Gov. Chris Sununu (R) with a 49% to 41% lead over Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) in a potential 2022 matchup for Senate.Trump [link=https://twitter.com/JuliaManch/status/1438582513941745670]put out a statement[/link] praising Sununu’s potential primary opponent Don Bolduc (R) today. (He is the Trumpy former General who signing a letter getting on board with the Big Lie)
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Quote from dergon
Quote from dergon
[h1][b]Trump Endorses Parnell In Pennsylvania Senate Race[/b][/h1]
Quote from DICOM_Dan
John Fetterman should win PA if they have any sense. I have family back around Johnstown. Theres places there that have been poor for 200 years but darn if they dont love them some Trump. Move on.
only the best people ….
[b]Sean Parnells Wife Sought Protective Orders Against Him[/b]
Pennsylvania U.S. Senate candidate Sean Parnells (R) wife sought protective orders against him in 2017 and 2018, which primary rival Jeff Bartos (R) says make him unelectable, the [link=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/sean-parnell-protection-from-abuse-orders-jeff-bartos-20210907.html]Philadelphia Inquirer[/link] reports.Word of the protective orders has been quietly simmering in political and media circles for months, but Bartos made them public for the first time in an interview Tuesday. He planned to release a memo Wednesday on the matter and why it should steer Republicans away from Parnell.
The highly personal line of attack from Bartos came days after Parnell [link=https://politicalwire.com/2021/09/02/trump-endorses-parnell-in-pennsylvania-senate-race/]secured a coveted endorsement[/link] from former President Donald Trump in the Republican primary.
BREAKING: Trump-endorsed Sean Parnell is suspending his campaign for Senate in Pennsylvania after losing custody of his children.-
Lots of maga favorites like Josh Hawley endorsed him too.
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[b]Greitens Calls on AZ to Decertify Election Results[/b]
Despite a draft report of a Republican-led election review that found more votes in Arizona for President Joe Biden, former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens (R) called on the state Friday to decertify its 2020 presidential election results, the [link=https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article254501232.html#storylink=cpy]Kansas City Star[/link] reports.
The U.S. Senate candidates insistence that Arizona cancel the results of its free and fair election continues his promotion of the false notion that the 2020 election was stolen from former President Donald Trump.
Greitens and other Missouri Republican candidates are courting hard-right primary voters and have all played some role in either perpetuating baseless claims of voter fraud or indulging those who believe Trump won the election. But Greitens has been the most aggressive, traveling to Arizona and securing the endorsement of a far-right Arizona state senator close to the review.-
We need a new word in the dictionary. This was beyond parody to start with. Kind of like Spaceballs went to plaid. Need a word for how crazy the GOP is. Simpleminded, dense, fatousness, inanity, feebleminded just don’t cut it.
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Gotta love the entire Democrat party platform this election cycle. The only thing they are running on at this point is if you vote Republican, you are voting for the end of democracy.
Spewing fear mongering BS is all youve got.
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Quote from acpce1
Gotta love the entire Democrat party platform this election cycle. The only thing they are running on at this point is if you vote Republican, you are voting for the end of democracy.
Spewing fear mongering BS is all youve got.
fear and outrage, as discussed many times, the 2 things that generate the most engagement
R’s seem to be running on outrage, and D’s more on fear
I get why, but hopefully they are both overdoing it and will lose some of its efficacy. I’ve managed to block most of the emails requesting money that I used to get, but they were so over the top. Almost threatening honestly– IF YOU DON’T GIVE US MORE MONEY NOW THE WORLD WILL END. I WARNED YOU. I’M BEGGING YOU. IF I COULD I WOULD GET IN YOUR FACE AND YELL AT YOU UNTIL YOU GAVE ME ALL OF YOUR MONEY OR PUNCHED ME IN THE FACE.
I know politics has always sucked, but honestly I don’t remember it sucking nearly this much. I don’t think the world is coming to an end (well, barring nuclear war), but US politics might need to die and have some phoenix-like rebirth. This is just f*ing awful.-
OK, but Democrats actually have proposals and plans, don’t they. They pushed through Biden’s American Rescue plan with does a lot, direct aid for individuals, schools, healthcare, cybersecurity, infrastructure investment, energy & renewables.
The last Republican plan did what exactly? Tax cuts that cost over $1.5 trillion. If continued will cost over $2.3 trillion. It is still stimulating the economy increasing inflation while the Fed is trying to unstimulate the economy.
Outside of FUD and more tax cuts, what do the Republicans offer? How have they made the economy and Americans lives better?
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My favorite is American rescue plan bad
Trump- PPP and 1200$ checks to everyone good
How as a republican you can justify that with a straight face is beyond me
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Quote from Frumious
OK, but Democrats actually have proposals and plans, don’t they. They pushed through Biden’s American Rescue plan with does a lot, direct aid for individuals, schools, healthcare, cybersecurity, infrastructure investment, energy & renewables.
The last Republican plan did what exactly? Tax cuts that cost over $1.5 trillion. If continued will cost over $2.3 trillion. It is still stimulating the economy increasing inflation while the Fed is trying to unstimulate the economy.
Outside of FUD and more tax cuts, what do the Republicans offer? How have they made the economy and Americans lives better?
Don’t disagree. I actually agree with much of the Democratic platform. Basically, I’m an Obama/Clinton Democrat. Not saying vote Republican, although at this point I prefer divided government b/c I really dislike the far-left 10% of what Democrats want (there is actually bipartisan stuff that gets passed, just isn’t high profile stuff and doesn’t get much attention [other than money for Ukraine I guess]).
Yes, the Republicans suck worse. But basically the whole thing is a dumpster fire at this point.-
Who has the matches and who has the gasoline they are throwing on the fire?
I see the GOP lighting the matches and throwing on the accelerant. I see Democrats looking for fire extinguishers even as they can’t seem to know where they are.
As the the “far-left,” what exactly have they proposed ever that has a snowball’s chance in hell? Please don’t say “Defund the police” or something similar because that snowball never even had a chance to melt as it never formed in the 1st place outside of extremists’ mottos and constant repetition by Fox & company “news.”
The “far-left” is a bogey-man meant to scare. When push comes to shove, Bernie will be very aggreeable to a moderate course since he’s old and experienced enough to know wishes don’t come true without real work regardless of how hard you click your ruby slippers.
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Outrage vs fear. Both sides argument.
How do you write that with a straight face as if there is nothing either party has done, only outrage or fear? You’d rank the Trump tax cuts that are still stimulating the economy as more important and useful than Biden’s Rescue Plan?
Because?
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[link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/574618-kelly-leads-in-all-potential-head-to-heads-of-arizona-senate-race-poll]https://thehill.com/homen…izona-senate-race-poll[/link]
[b]
[/b][b]Kelly leads in all potential head-to-heads of Arizona Senate race:[/b]Republicans seeking to challenge Kelly include [link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/557880-arizona-ag-mark-brnovich-launches-senate-challenge-to-mark-kelly]Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich[/link], chief operating officer at Thiel Capital [link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/562508-thiel-ally-blake-masters-launches-arizona-senate-bid]Blake Masters[/link], founder of solar power company DEPCOM Power Jim Lamon and Retired Maj. Gen. [link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/557491-mcguire-unveils-arizona-senate-campaign]Michael Mick McGuire[/link].
In a head-to-head matchup between Kelly and Brnovich, Kelly leads 43 percent to the attorney generals 39 percent, according to a OH Predictive Insights survey. Kelly received 44 percent to McGuires 37 percent; 43 percent when paired against Lamon, who took in 36 percent; and 44 percent of versus Masters 35 percent.
The polling firm noted that although Kelly did not receive more than 45 percent among any of the head-to-head matchups, 47 percent of voters think favorably of the senator versus 43 percent who think unfavorably of him.[/QUOTE]
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[h1][b]Murkowski Questions Pro-Trump Challenger Tshibakas Residency[/b][/h1]
[link=https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/04/politics/lisa-murkowksi-kelly-tshibaka-residency/index.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fcnn_allpolitics+%28RSS%3A+CNN+-+Politics%29]CNN[/link]: Murkowski took aim at her would-be GOP challenger, Kelly Tshibaka, over the candidates ties to Alaska in an interview with CNN, an opening salvo in what could emerge as the most high-profile proxy war between Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell and former President Donald Trump in next years midterms.
Murkowski alluded to a state investigation into whether Tshibaka illegally obtained a fishing license for a sportfishing event in 2019 because she had not lived in the state for the previous 12 months.
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[h1][link=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/11/mike-lee-2022-election/620671/]The Atlantic[/link][/h1]
[h1]Inside the Red-State Plot to Take Down a Top Trump Ally[/h1] [b]Mike Lee, the former Trump critic, and current Trump acolyte, may be vulnerable in 2022. An unusual coalition of opponents in Utah is trying to unseat him.
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For many utahns, the Trump rally was the breaking point. A few days before the 2020 election, Senator Mike Lee paced across a red, white, and blue stage in Goodyear, Arizona, microphone in hand, rhapsodizing about the presidents many virtues while he looked on. Lees talking points were mostly familiar. But then he arrived at a novel line of flattery, pitched to his coreligionists: He compared Trump to a figure from the Book of Mormon.
To my Mormon friends, my Latter-day Saint friends, think of him as Captain Moroni, Lee bellowed, pointing to the president. He seeks not power, but to pull it down. He seeks not the praise of the world or the fake news, but he seeks the well-being and the peace of the American people.
The backlash was swift. Members of the [link=https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2021/01/the-most-american-religion/617263/]Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints[/link] arent used to seeing their sacred texts so brazenly politicized on the stump, and many membersincluding even some Donald Trump votersregarded the invocation of a scriptural hero at a MAGA rally as blasphemous. Lees social-media feeds lit up with outraged constituents, the national media piled on, and the senator hastily backpedaled, apologizing to those hed offended. But among an influential contingent of political, business, and religious leaders in Utah, the episode surfaced long-simmering frustrations with the senator.…
Lee has already attracted two well-funded primary opponents, as well as an independent, Evan McMullinlast seen running for president in 2016who is framing his Senate candidacy explicitly as a bid to take down the incumbent. Opposition research is being assembled; lines of attack are being poll-tested. Two people familiar with the research told me that the Captain Moroni incident appears to be especially effective in swaying votersbut its not the only part of Lees record that his opponents plan to highlight in the coming months.
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The fact that Lee flip-flopped on Trump isnt the real source of establishment frustration in Utahits how hes helped to import MAGA-style politics to the state. Notably, Lee has picked several fights in recent years that appear to put him in conflict with his church. In 2019, when the Church endorsed the [link=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/08/lgbtq-rights-america-arent-resolved/596287/]Fairness for All Act[/link]a bill intended to balance LGBTQ rights and religious freedomLee deemed it hostile to the First Amendment and announced that he would actively oppose it. Last year, he waged a [link=https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/09/10/sen-mike-lee-says-ksl-is/]strange, weeks-long crusade[/link] on Facebook against a Church-owned local news outlet, which he accused of anti-Trump bias. And more recently, as Church leaders have pleaded with its members to get vaccinated against COVID-19, Lee has prioritized railing against vaccine mandates and introducing bills with names like the Dont Jab Me Act.
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{Lee’s} claim to the principled-outsider mantle is what helped Lee defeat Senator Bob Bennett, Utahs long-serving incumbent, in the 2010 Republican primary. This time around, Lees GOP challengers plan to use a similar playbook against him. Ally Isom, a former spokesperson for the Church, has pitched her candidacy as an antidote to Lees divisiveness. Becky Edwards, a moderate former state legislator, is arguing that Lees strident approach has prevented him from delivering for his constituents. Neither candidate has risen above single digits in early polling, but they have both proved to be able fundraisers.
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[link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/582327-cook-political-report-shifts-three-senate-races-toward-republicans]https://thehill.com/homen…ces-toward-republicans[/link]
Cook Political Report moves three Senate races towards GOP
AZ, GA, NV all go from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss-up.”
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[link=https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1476746648999104514]https://twitter.com/Jacob…us/1476746648999104514[/link][h1][b]Alaska Governor Accepts Trumps Endorsement[/b][/h1]
Alaskas Gov. Mike Dunleavy (R) accepted the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, which came on the condition the governor does not, in turn, endorse Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) in her reelection bid, [link=https://thehill.com/homenews/statewatch/587806-alaska-gop-governor-accepts-trump-endorsement-and-murkowski-ultimatum]The Hill[/link] reports.
It was not clear if Dunleavy meant for his note to Trump to be public, but it was released anyway.
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Harry Enten, formally of 538, now CNN elections data analyst:
[link=https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/12/politics/ron-johnson-republicans-senate-2022-analysis/index.html]https://www.cnn.com/2022/…22-analysis/index.html[/link]
[h1]Why Republicans aren’t likely to lose any Senate seats in 2022[/h1]
Since 1982, opposition-party incumbent senators from states like Wisconsin {where Ron Johnson will run for re–election} (i.e. lean toward the opposition party {relative to the national popular vote} in the previous two presidential elections) have won 86 out of 87 elections in midterms.
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Broadening it out a little bit, every single Republican senator running in 2022 is from a state that has leaned more Republican than the nation as a whole in the last two presidential elections. That’s in large part because the [link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/there-were-no-purple-states-on-tuesday/]2016 election[/link] (i.e. when these senators were last elected) remains the only time in the last century when every state that had a Senate election voted for the same party in both the Senate and presidential races.
…Democrats’ best chance to pick up a Republican-held seat is where Republicans are retiring. There are five of those seats, most notably in North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania. All three voted more Republican than the nation in the last few presidential elections, but all have elected at least one Democrat to major statewide office in the last four years.
Still, even here, the math is not on the Democrats’ side. Since 1982, there have been 35 midterm Senate elections in states that leaned toward the opposition party in the previous presidential elections and where an elected incumbent was not an eligible candidate by the time of the election. The opposition party won 32 of the 35.
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This year, the President doesn’t look like he’ll be popular. Nor do the Democrats have someone running for any of these seats who has anything close to the history that Manchin has of winning in a deeply red state.
Of course, maybe there will be some surprising results this year. History doesn’t always hold. But if it does, the Democrats’ chances of picking up seats in the Senate are small.[/QUOTE]
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[link=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/594998-republicans-scramble-to-halt-greitens-in-missouri]Republicans scramble to halt Greitens in Missouri[/link]
Republicans in Missouri and Washington have failed to consolidate support around one other contender, keeping the primary crowded and leaving in place a path for Greitens to win the nomination with only a plurality.
I think for Eric Greitens to be defeated, you have to have some consolidation in the race, or at least momentum as far as an alternative, said Missouri GOP strategist James Harris, who is unaffiliated with any of the candidates. And the thing is, we’ve been unable to have that discussion. It’s very early, but people should be concerned about Eric Greitens.
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If the Dems get to run against him I hope they take advantage and dont blow it.
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[b]Eric Greitens Meets with Trump[/b][/h1]
Former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens (R), who is running for U.S. Senate, met with Donald Trump for 30 minutes at Mar-a-Lago, the [link=https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1496278761213411331?s=20&t=Odb4bqKYLPHSAH074an3QQ]New York Times[/link] reports.
Trump has made critical comments about Greitens to aides but more recently has been more positive about him.GREITENS was at Mar-a-Lago today, per someone who spotted him. Trip comes as Trump has made several disparaging comments about him to aides.
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) February 23, 2022
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[img]https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/2022_03_01_Senate_Ratings_600.png[/img]
Larry Sabato updates Senate Map for 2022
4 toss-ups. Dems need 3 to hold the senate
[link=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2022-senate/]https://centerforpolitics…/category/2022-senate/[/link]
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[link=https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/27/politics/senate-race-rankings-march-elections/index.html]CNN[/link] ranks the 10 Senate seats most likely to flip:
[ol][*]Pennsylvania[*]Georgia[*]Wisconsin[*]Arizona[*]Nevada[*]New Hampshire[*]North Carolina[*]Florida[*]Ohio[*]Missouri [/ol] -
So CNN is saying Tim RYan wins OH? Because if docuhe1, douche 2 etc… win I’d say it’s just another republican. However, it’d be a total whack job like Josh Mandel.
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[h1][b]Pennsylvania Senate Race Is Wide Open[/b][/h1]
A new [link=https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/pennsylvania-2022-poll-republicans-are-undecided-in-senate-and-governors-races-mccormick-and-oz-tied-at-14-for-senate]Emerson College/The Hill poll[/link] in Pennsylvania finds the Republican U.S. Senate primary wide open: 51% of voters are undecided and David McCormick (R) and Mehmet Oz (R) receive 14% respectively. No other candidate reaches double digits.
On the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) leads with 33%, followed by Rep. Conor Lamb (D) with 10%. No other candidate reaches double digits and 37% are undecided._______
PA ad spending already topped $50 million, the majority of which comes from McCormick and Oz
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[b]Fetterman Skips First Debate in Pennsylvania[/b][/h1]
The empty podium at stage right took a lot of hits on Sunday, the [link=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-democratic-senate-debate-fetterman-lamb-kenyatta-20220403.html]Philadelphia Inquirer[/link] reports.
From the opening moments of Pennsylvanias first Democratic Senate debate, U.S. Rep. Conor Lamb and State Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta lobbed attacks at their missing primary opponent: the front-runner, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman.
In 90 minutes of jabs and jokes, both men especially Lamb argued that Fettermans decision to skip the debate was an insult to voters and a red flag for his candidacy in a critical Senate contest. -
[link=https://missouriindependent.com/2022/04/05/sheena-greitens-says-she-has-photos-records-to-document-abuse-by-former-missouri-governor/]Sheena Greitens says she has photos, records to document abuse by former Missouri governor
[/link]
Former Missouri First Lady Sheena Greitens says in a new court filing that she has photos and other evidence to back up her [link=https://missouriindependent.com/2022/03/21/eric-greitens-accused-of-physical-abuse-in-affidavit-filed-by-his-ex-wife/]claims that former Gov. Eric Greitens[/link] physically abused her and their children as his political career unraveled.
In a statement embedded in a court filing Thursday in Boone County Circuit Court as part of her ongoing child custody battle with the former governor, Sheena Greitens said she tried to resolve differences without a public fight. But she said that Eric Greitenss attacks on her character, push for records to be sealed and demands that the case be sent to mediation show he cares more about his campaign for U.S. Senate than his sons.
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The abuse claims, made in an affidavit filed March 21, stated that as he faced [link=https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article212822769.html]criminal charges and possible impeachment in 2018[/link], Eric Greitens repeatedly threatened to commit suicide unless she showed specific public political support for him. In one incident of child abuse, that she swore in the affidavit occurred in November 2019, one of their sons came home from a visit his father with a swollen face, bleeding gums and loose tooth and said his father had hit him.[/QUOTE]
