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AntiBrexit vote
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Worst wipe-out for Labour since before WWII.
Should be a warning for US liberals. Right wing populism isn’t going away and it remains a powerful force. Just because Trump is somewhat unappealing personally doesn’t mean he won’t get a huge turnout. If Dems put up a weak candidate that people can’t see as an effective or that they view as a socialist the result can be much worse than 2016.
(I stand by my 60/40 odds of Trump re-elect now)-
Well, that was pretty decisive.
I wish Boris had grown up a few years earlier and spared his country the ultimately unproductive May government.
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Fat lady hasn’t sung yet. No Brexit yet. Still a question of effects post-Brexit on Britain with new trade agreements to be done and possibly Scotland exiting Less Than Great Britain.
We’ll see.
As for Boris growing up, that was always his charm and why he’s reliably unreliable. But he is entertaining.
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Boris should send a Thank You! card to Jeremy saying inside the card, “Couldn’t have done it without you! Hearts and Kisses!”
Boris would mean it twice over, first as a real thank you and 2nd as a trollish dig – which Jeremy fully deserves.
Now Jeremy should retire, his time is decades past. Jeremy who? -
Quote from dergon
Worst wipe-out for Labour since before WWII.
Should be a warning for US liberals. Right wing populism isn’t going away and it remains a powerful force. Just because Trump is somewhat unappealing personally doesn’t mean he won’t get a huge turnout. If Dems put up a weak candidate that people can’t see as an effective or that they view as a socialist the result can be much worse than 2016.
(I stand by my 60/40 odds of Trump re-elect now)
This after all of your anti Boris and negative comments for months on here
It’s so funny how out of touch you are. Maybe you are starting to learn by this post?
Your boy kpack though still thinks the president will be removed
MORE WINNING-
Now on to Brexit.
The big majority should give Boris the choice of what kind of Brexit he wants.
He can do something close to a hard Brexit or he can do something a lot more mild that is really just Brexit in name only but keep very close economic relations with Europe.
But my is that somehow people in the UK are going to interpret this domestic landslide to mean they can now get a “better deal” from the EU.
I saw from my socials an interesting quote from a Belgian MEP, Philippe Lamberts
He said that whether or not the Tories can achieve a political declaration with zero tariffs on goods between the UK and the EU depends on whether the Tory party is, again, able to face up to its own contradictions.They want the deepest possible access to the European single market, yet they want to undercut significantly EU legislation, and you cant have both.
So either you want total regulatory freedom and you do whatever you like and if you want to undercut EU legislation then you do it, but then you lose access. Or you want access and you have basically to remain aligned with EU legislation. That will be the decision that [link=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/boris-johnson]Boris Johnson[/link] will need to make.
Mr Lamberts is 100% correct.
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And now you will have secession of Scotland (and unification in Ireland) as growing political issues to deal with as well.-
Looks like BoJo wants to push a hard Brexit fast:
[b][link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-17/pound-slides-on-reports-johnson-will-block-further-brexit-delay?srnd=premium]British Pound Falls After Boris Johnson Moves to Block Any Brexit Delay[/link][/b]
The risk of a hard Brexit break from the EU is back.
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Boris Johnson deteriorates from Covid-19. Moved to ICU
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I wish him a good recovery.
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Foreign Minister Dominic Raab has accepted a transfer of power from Johnson and is now leading the UK.
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[link=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/07/boris-johnson-coronavirus-condition-171458]Boris Johnson stable and in good spirits: Downing Street[/link]
wishing him good health and a speedy recovery-
Heard Oxygen therapy treatment is making an improvement. Have you guys read some of the Imaging Articles on AM regarding what RADS and AI are finding together to spot the different look of the Diagnosis. Pretty interesting.
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[link=https://pickforbritain.org.uk/]https://pickforbritain.org.uk/[/link]
UK tries to recruit native-born to do agricultural field work. Will be interesting to see how that goes.-
Quote from dergon
[link=https://pickforbritain.org.uk/]https://pickforbritain.org.uk/[/link]
UK tries to recruit native-born to do agricultural field work. Will be interesting to see how that goes.
My anecdote. I play gold with a guy who owns a bigger landscaping company around here. I forget which Trump episode this was but he was worried about getting his work force back up here from Mexico. His thoughts were basically that anyone else you hire is a garbage worker. Entitled, lazy, and just won’t do this kind of labor for what it pays. So i’d agree in that it should be interesting.
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FT
[link=https://www.ft.com/content/4fd04fd9-7209-4b7c-97a1-97466f226159]https://www.ft.com/content/4fd04fd9-7209-4b7c-97a1-97466f226159[/link]
[b]Pound is becoming an emerging market currency, says BofA analyst[/b][/h1]
[b]The pound is now an emerging-market currency in all but name, according to analysts at Bank of America, who say that Brexit has turned it into a mirror of the small and shrinking UK economy. [/b]
[b] In the four years since the UK voted to leave the EU, trading conditions in the pound and the big swings in exchange rates make it a better match with the Mexican peso than the US dollar, said Kamal Sharma, a currency analyst at BofA. He said that movements in the currency since the June 2016 Brexit vote have become neurotic at best, unfathomable at worst. [/b]
[b]The banks analysts noted that the difference between rates at which investors are willing to buy and sell sterling remains bigger than in other major currencies, even after the broader market has settled in the wake of the coronavirus-related panic in March.
[/b]
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Brexit purity or welfare of your citizens? Tough call!
[link=https://www.ft.com/content/b6297e59-f2d4-461a-b1a5-a0bd08b2b4e3]https://www.ft.com/content/b6297e59-…5-a0bd08b2b4e3[/link]
[h1]UK in talks to join EU coronavirus vaccine plan[/h1] London must decide soon whether to be part of multibillion-euro effort to secure suppliesThe UK is in talks to join an EU plan to secure supplies of potential coronavirus vaccines in an important test of the co-operation required to tackle international emergencies after Brexit. London is assessing whether the advantages of the European blocs bargaining power to strike deals with international drugs companies outweigh the broader political desire to sever ties with Brussels, UK officials said.
The negotiations come as an international battle escalates to buy up coronavirus remedies, often long before their effectiveness has been confirmed. The US has poured billions of dollars into Covid-19 vaccine development and purchased much of the worlds supply of remdesivir, a coronavirus treatment produced by the US pharmaceuticals group Gilead.
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Seems like they either need to join the EU or US. A window into their future.
On a broader note, there will be a choice soon whether to strengthen the anglosphere and have that be the new world order of power or to abandon it in favor of a more broad coalition.
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[link=https://www.axios.com/uk-prime-ministers-johnson-brexit-law-edd8523d-62fa-463e-8092-02ac4a223f30.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100]https://www.axios.com/uk-…c&utm_content=1100[/link]
[h1]5 former U.K. prime ministers speak out against Johnson’s plan to break Brexit treaty[/h1]
David Cameron on Monday became the [link=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-54145202]fifth former prime minister[/link] of the United Kingdom to raise concerns or condemn the government’s plan to [link=https://www.axios.com/brexit-uk-eu-international-law-trade-talks-86715733-7f9b-4ba5-957b-e2ab15019d62.html]break international law[/link] in order to amend the Brexit deal Boris Johnson agreed to with the European Union last year.
[b]The state of play: [/b]Johnson is facing a possible intra-party rebellion over a new bill that would override provisions in the Brexit divorce deal related to Northern Ireland, a country in the U.K. that shares a border with EU member state Ireland.
[ul][*]With talks over a long-term free trade agreement at risk of collapse, the EU has demanded that Johnson scrap the bill and is threatening legal action if he refuses.[*]The U.K. is now likely to leave the Brexit transition period on Dec. 31 without a free trade agreement, something that experts [link=https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/02/1058131]have warned[/link] could cause significant economic disruptions. [/ul] [b]What they’re saying:[/b]
[ul][*][b]Theresa May (2016-2019): [/b]”How can the government reassure future international partners that the U.K. can be trusted to abide by the legal obligations of the agreements it signs?”[*][b]David Cameron (2010-2016): [/b]”Passing an act of Parliament and then going on to break an international treaty obligation is the very, very last thing you should contemplate. It should be an absolute final resort. So I do have misgivings about what’s being proposed.”[*][b]Gordon Brown (2007-2010): [/b]”It’s self-harm. You can’t sign an international treaty what was it 12 months ago? The prime minister negotiating it, he’s signing it, and then break it. You’ve got no respect.”[*][b]Tony Blair (1997-2007): [/b]”What is being proposed now is shocking. How can it be compatible with the codes of conduct that bind ministers, law officers and civil servants deliberately to break treaty obligations?”[*][b]John Major (1990-1997): [/b]”For generations, Britains word solemnly given has been accepted by a friend and foe. Our signature on any treaty or agreement has been sacrosanct. If we lose our reputation for honoring the promises we make, we will have lost something beyond price that may never be regained.” [/ul]
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The European Union has initiated legal proceedings against the U.K. over Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s plans to break international law to override parts of the Brexit deal the two sides struck last year.
[link=https://www.axios.com/eu-legal-action-uk-brexit-66d36a20-c641-4c5d-887d-be60a708af11.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100]https://www.axios.com/eu-…c&utm_content=1100[/link] -
[link=https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1306334039557586944]https://twitter.com/JoeBi…us/1306334039557586944[/link]
Biden Presidential campaign issues a statement on Brexit and the Good Friday Accords:
“We cant allow the Good Friday Agreement that brought peace to Northern Ireland to become a casualty of Brexit. Any trade deal between the U.S. and U.K. must be contingent upon respect for the Agreement and preventing the return of a hard border. Period.”
will support active US diplomatic engagement to advance peace in Northern Ireland and will ensure there will be no US-UK trade deal if the implementation of Brexit imperils the Good Friday Agreement.. -
Some reporting tonight that Biden will make Ireland his first state visit.
[link=https://www.businessinsider.com/joe-…ith-uk-2020-11]https://www.businessinsid…/joe-…ith-uk-2020-11[/link]
Joe Biden is likely to make Ireland his first state visit as US president, a source on his campaign told Business Insider.
The move, if confirmed, would be a coup for the Irish government and could heap more pressure on UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson to shift policy on Brexit.
Irish senators and campaigners say they expect Biden’s ties to the country mean he will face down Johnson over his Brexit plans for Northern Ireland.
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Tony Blinken, Biden’s pick for Secretary of State, is a staunch anti-Brexiter.
In prior statements he has made it clear that Brexit would make it difficult to keep peace in Northern Ireland. He has been very critical of UK’s handling of the process, calling it a “total mess.”
And he has linked Brexit to the same forces that had driven the rise of Marine LePen in France. (Read: He thinks Brexit is primarily driven by anti-immigrant white ethnonationalism.)
More evidence that a Biden administration is going to make Brexit painful for the UK and Brexiter politicians.-
I thought Biden was going to rebuild our alliances?
Only the ones that fit the Leftist order eh? Must punish the British “Trumpers?”
The Brits chose to leave the EU in a democratic process. They are a valuable ally and could be even more valuable to us outside of the EU. It would be a big shame to waste that opportunity.
But hey, as long as you get to punish those bad racists right?
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Halting Brexit…. and/or limiting the actual degree of separation of the UK from the EU [b]is[/b] rebuilding our alliances.
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So you don’t think the British people are allowed self-determination? It’s the global Leftist order or nothing?
The UK would be a much stronger ally outside of the EU.-
Biden has just supported the agreement made with Ireland and Northern Ireland should continue. So what if Biden and cabinet members think Brexit is nutz, Britain can still do Brexit.
Nothing is stopping Brexit from actually happening except the British themselves. They’ve been trying to do Brexit for 4 years now, what’s their problem? Maybe Boris’ and company’s promises were nothing but hot and empty air.
Your argument about not allowing Britains self-determination is empty hyperbole.-
Quote from Frumious
Biden has just supported the agreement made with Ireland and Northern Ireland should continue.
[link=https://www.politico.eu/article/shamrock-diplomacy-joe-biden-irish-nationalists-brexit-trade/]Shamrock diplomacy shows Biden backs Irish nationalists on post-Brexit trade rules
[/link]
U.S. President Joe Bidens administration just tied the defense of Northern Irelands peace accord to the success of the EU-U.K. trade protocol for the region. Such [link=https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/st-patrick-s-day-in-white-house-is-not-mere-shamrock-diplomacy-1.724377][b][/b]shamrock diplomacy[/link] has deep and influential roots and its [link=https://twitter.com/News_Letter/status/1372456718123335682]bad news[/link] for Northern Irish unionists trying to wreck the protocol.
A [link=https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/03/17/joint-statement-by-president-joe-biden-and-taoiseach-micheal-martin/]joint statement[/link] issued late on St. Patricks Day by Biden and Irish Prime Minister Micheál Martin said support for the U.S.-brokered 1998 peace deal requires good faith implementation of international agreements designed to address the unique circumstances on the island of Ireland. Their declaration followed an unexpectedly long 80-minute video chat.
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Biden and Martins new joint position underscores that the U.S., like Ireland, expects the British government to intensify EU customs checks on British goods arriving at ports in Northern Ireland which, unlike the rest of the U.K., remains subject to EU single market rules.
They want this regardless of the [link=https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-protocol-row-adds-to-pressure-on-northern-irelands-unionists/]anxiety [/link]this causes unionists, who see the rising sea border as a long-term threat to their U.K. membership. Before the Good Friday Aagreement, such arguments over Northern Irelands future drove three decades of bloodshed that claimed 3,700 lives, much of it committed by pro-union [link=https://www.politico.eu/article/who-are-the-northern-ireland-loyalists-threatening-to-shun-peace-deal-over-brexit-fears/]extremists.[/link][/QUOTE]
(edit: and in related news … [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-18/irish-imports-from-great-britain-fall-65-as-brexit-takes-hold?srnd=premium]Irish Imports from Great Britain Fall 65% as Brexit Takes Hold[/link] )
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Had a corned beef with Kerry Gold Swiss for St Patricks. Keep exporting that delicious Kerry Gold Swiss to the USA.
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Apparently some violence starting to play out in Northern Ireland. Not sure why they can’t just disagree and not need to firebomb.
[link=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/apr/09/boris-johnson-brexit-belfast-violence-eu-good-friday-agreement]https://www.theguardian.c…-good-friday-agreement[/link]-
Quote from DICOM_Dan
Apparently some violence starting to play out in Northern Ireland. Not sure why they can’t just disagree and not need to firebomb.
[link=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/apr/09/boris-johnson-brexit-belfast-violence-eu-good-friday-agreement]https://www.theguardian.c…-good-friday-agreement[/link]
Part of what made the Good Friday accords successful was the ability to blur the border that partisans on both sides were disempowered and de-fused. The Irish nationalists and the unionists both.
Brexit by definition, hardens that border between Ireland and the UK. You either put that border in the Irish sea and make the unionists rage or you put on the Ulster border and re-ignite the IRA.
Moving *toward* a common UK and Ireland on the banner of the EU would have been wonderful for the people of Northern Ireland to allow their children to be raised in peace … lots of questions about whether that will happen now. -
And in the “brexits have consequences” arena:
[link=https://todayuknews.com/politics/eu-countries-rule-out-bilateral-asylum-returns-deals-with-uk-in-blow-to-patels-immigration-plans/]https://todayuknews.com/p…els-immigration-plans/[/link]
EU countries say they will not make bilateral agreements with the UK to send asylum seekers back to the Europe. The original plan had been to send asylum seekers back to the european continent to a country they passed through en route.
Now the UK will have to deal directly with the nations of origin (eastern europe, north africa, asia, the middle east )
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I believe that Brexit was a massive mistake and that wise US foreign policy would look to help to influence public opinion and political decisions to limit it and/or reverse it.
The right-wing populism in the UK will eventually burn itself out and the UK will realize that it is better off close to the EU.
It is also in the best interest of the US for that to happen.
This is what foreign policy and diplomacy is supposed to do. … use the power of the US government to advance the interests of itself and its allies …. and in the case those two things are well aligned.-
I see. Well I don’t think it was a mistake at all and honestly it doesn’t matter what either of us think.
I’m just glad an ally was able to have free and fair elections and was able to practice its self-determination.
We should be moving forward with them and not trying to revert a decision their citizens made.
They could be a very close ally post-Brexit since their options are limited. We should embrace that instead of shaming and punishing them.-
The UK will be a very close ally regardless of which way Brexit goes.
It will be a [i]more effective[/i] ally if Brexit is reversed.
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Just because they vote for it does not mean we automatically support it. We have our own self-interests and Brexit is not in our self interest.
We are not British.
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Quote from Frumious
Just because they vote for it does not mean we automatically support it. We have our own self-interests and Brexit is not in our self interest.
We are not British.
True.
But the fact that blunting the Brexit forces is also in the long-term best interest of the UK (socially, culturally, defense wise, trade wise, economically) makes it a foreign policy no brainer for the Biden administration.
Not to mention that nowhere near a majority approves of Brexit at this point.-
I mean ultimately this is going to be like anything else…I disagree and think Brexit is great.
I totally understand that Biden will go back to the Leftist/globalist scheme and that’s fine. He was elected.
My issue was that his pick wanted to shame and degrade the British people for choosing Brexit. They aren’t racists or white supremacists for doing so and I’m tired of that nonsense from the Left. Anything that they don’t like has to be due to racism. It’s not true and it needs to stop if they want to be taken seriously by the other half of the world.-
didn’t the UK come back around on Brexit. Once they found out the difficulties outweighed the benefits of staying in.
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Quote from DICOM_Dan
didn’t the UK come back around on Brexit. Once they found out the difficulties outweighed the benefits of staying in.
Yes.
But the pro-Brexit thinking runs along the course of “This low turn-out non-binding referendum that gained a narrow majority 5 years ago should be considered ‘the will of the people’ in perpetuity despite changing polls. And [b]in no way[/b] should we consider a second referendum.”-
Quote from dergon
Quote from DICOM_Dan
didn’t the UK come back around on Brexit. Once they found out the difficulties outweighed the benefits of staying in.
Yes.
But the pro-Brexit thinking runs along the course of “This low turn-out non-binding referendum that gained a narrow majority 5 years ago should be considered ‘the will of the people’ in perpetuity despite changing polls. And [b]in no way[/b] should we consider a second referendum.”
Would you want a second referendum if they had voted to remain?
Classic.-
You mean if nothing had changed in the 5 years and created no new problems?
DUH, why would a 2nd referendum then be required?-
Ha no my point is that the global elite wanted one outcome and didn’t get it so they will always try to find a way to “fix” that. If the reverse outcome had happened, they wouldn’t have tried to do anything even if the EU crashed and burned with the UK dragging along with it.
There was a vote. There was an outcome. If you have a “re-do” then why not have another and another and another?
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[link=https://www.euronews.com/2020/06/11/brexit-draft-deal-first-of-many-hurdles-to-a-smooth-exit]https://www.euronews.com/…rdles-to-a-smooth-exit[/link]
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[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-24/goldman-sachs-to-start-paris-trading-venue-as-brexit-approaches]https://www.bloomberg.com…e-as-brexit-approaches[/link]
[h1]Goldman Sachs to Start Paris Trading Venue as Brexit Nears[/h1]
[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GS:US]Goldman Sachs Group Inc.[/link] is planning a European stock trading platform to ensure its clients can still buy and sell shares even without a post-Brexit agreement to allow dealing in London.
Its critically important for us to have the capabilities in place for all our clients to respond to what we believe will be a changing of the liquidity landscape in Europe and the U.K. post-Brexit, Elizabeth Martin, global head of futures and equities electronic trading at Goldman Sachs, said in an interview.
Goldman joins rivals including Cboe Europe and [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/LSE:LN]London Stock Exchange Group Plc[/link] in forming venues in European cities to ward off disruption at the end of the year, when Britain loses automatic rights to host trading in [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-08/london-s-days-as-stock-trading-hub-numbered-in-brexit-deadlock]most EU shares[/link] for clients inside the bloc.
[/QUOTE]
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[link=https://www.ft.com/content/5d100427-cc85-4b78-ae65-580a450ac503]https://www.ft.com/conten…4b78-ae65-580a450ac503[/link]
[b]FT[/b]:
[h1]No-deal Brexit is the UKs biggest economic threat, not Covid[/h1]Reducing our ability to trade has real consequences for productivity and the cost of living. This week, the OBR has confirmed its view that the long-term, permanent drag on the UK economy, compared with continued EU membership, will be 4 per cent of gross domestic product, assuming that the negotiations go well and the substantial, practical changes involved in ending the transition period go smoothly.
To put that in context, the economic hit is more than the OBRs estimate of the long-term damage caused by Covid-19. It completed its analysis before the initially positive news about the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine and assumed that a vaccine would not be rolled out until the second half of next year. In what now looks like a pessimistic scenario, the long-term economic hit is estimated at 3 per cent. If, as now seems likely, we have put the worst effects of the virus behind us by next spring, the OBR believes that the long-term economic impact of the virus will be negligible.
Given the lack of progress in EU-UK negotiations, the OBR has considered it necessary to produce an analysis of a no-deal scenario. It shows a further, permanent deterioration in the economy of almost 2 per cent on top of the 4 per cent loss already assumed. Inevitably, this will result in higher government borrowing (by £12bn over three years), as well as the number of unemployed people being 300,000 higher than it otherwise would be next summer.[/QUOTE]
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[h1]Barnier sets Wednesday as final Brexit talks deadline[/h1] [link]https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1207/1182798-brexit/[/link]
According to sources present, Mr Barnier also warned the UK that a deal would not be approved by member states if it pressed ahead with passing the Internal Market and the Finance Bills into law.
He told the European Parliament’s Brexit co-ordination committee this morning that US President-elect Joe Biden was also “sensitive” to any impact of UK law on the Good Friday Agreement.
The EU would not be subject to threats or pressure as a result of the bills and the UK was mistaken if it thought the EU would move on its position within the negotiations as a result of the threats, he said.
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Brass tacks now….
UK has reportedly agreed to EU offices and inspectors in Northern Ireland to assure customs done above board.
Its a major concession from the take back control folks who have insisted on no EU boots on the ground from day 1.
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Breaking: EU and UK extend Brexit talks beyond today’s deadline
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[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-24/johnson-is-claiming-brexit-victory-over-eu-as-the-spin-begins?sref=yMmXm5Iy]https://www.bloomberg.com…n-begins?sref=yMmXm5Iy[/link]
Spin v Reality
{A}simple tally of the negotiating issues doesnt account for their overall importance, and some of the issues where the EU is deemed to have won are economically sensitive for Britain. Workers in the services industry, which makes up 80% of Britains economy, wont have their professional qualifications automatically recognized in the EU. That means professions such as architecture, accountancy and consulting will be harder to sell in to the bloc.
The U.K. also wont get a Japan-style deal for financial services it was looking for, which would have allowed for greater regulatory cooperation.
Other areas claimed as a win by the U.K. dont accurately reflect the two sides initial negotiating positions. On rules of origin — which determine what inputs a good must contain to qualify for tariff-free trade — the U.K. said it has achieved a win by securing so-called bilateral cumulation. That means inputs from both the U.K. and EU count toward the tariff-free threshold. But the U.K.s opening ask was more ambitious: It wanted inputs from third countries with which it has a free trade agreement, such as Japan or Canada, to be included.
Another area where the U.K. has given ground is on product standards, according to the document. The deal doesnt include any mutual recognition of conformity assessment, which would have allowed the British to certify goods for the EU market, meaning firms will have to pay the regulatory cost of certification twice if they wish to sell their products in both the U.K. and the bloc. Companies may also have to run separate production lines to comply with separate standards.
[/QUOTE].
The EU appears to have secured a deal which allows it to retain nearly all of the advantages it derives from its trading relationship with the U.K., while giving it the ability to use regulatory structures to cherry pick among the sectors where the U.K. had previously enjoyed advantages in the trading relationship.” ~ JPMorgan Chase & Co.s chief U.K. economist, Malcolm Barr, in a Brexit research note.
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Breaking: A final Brexit deal has been reached.
EU press conference says it is “sweet sorrow” to see the UK go. -
[link]https://youtu.be/sHHgpig9Bus[/link]
Nice “TL/RD News” segment on Brexit and Ireland current issues.-
[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-12/u-k-tells-eu-don-t-be-bloody-minded-as-brexit-row-dogs-g-7?srnd=premium]Johnson Threatens to Suspend Brexit Northern Ireland Protocol
[/link][b]Johnson: EU misunderstands U.K. is a single country ; Macron wants reset of relations, tells Johnson to honor deal
[/b]
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson clashed with [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/345300Z:BB]European Union[/link] leaders, warning Britain could suspend parts of the Brexit agreement struck less than two years ago if a row over trade rules for goods shipped to Northern Ireland cant be resolved.
Johnson said Britain could act unilaterally unless the bloc agrees to a compromise when the current grace period governing trade expires on June 30.
I think if the protocol continues to be applied in this way, then we will obviously not hesitate to invoke Article 16, as I have said before, Johnson told Sky News in Carbis Bay on the sidelines of the Group of Seven summit he is hosting this weekend. Dont forget, the EU themselves invoked Article 16 in January, to disapply the protocol, so they can stop removal of vaccines from the EU to the U.K.[/QUOTE]
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Brexit dividend for Paris.
[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-29/jamie-dimon-says-paris-is-jpmorgan-s-new-trading-hub-in-the-eu]https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic…-hub-in-the-eu[/link]
[h1]Jamie Dimon: Paris Is JPMorgans New EU Trading Hub[/h1] Paris has become [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/JPM:US]JPMorgan[/link]s main trading center in the European Union, Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said at the inauguration of the banks new headquarters in Paris on Tuesday.The new premises has six trading floors and will see between $300 billion and $400 billion in trading volume every day, Dimon told reporters.
All European trading, which is stocks, bonds, and derivatives will be going through here, Dimon said. Its the trading hub for the bank in Europe, he added. The bank now [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/terminal/QVDSB2T1UM0X]aims[/link] to have 800 staff in its Paris office by the end of 2022, up from 260 in early 2020.
JPMorgan, which was initially [link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/terminal/OH1T8Z6K50YK]reluctant[/link] to increase its presence in Paris because of Frances labor laws, eventually made the city a key part of its post-Brexit footprint in continental Europe after the election of Emmanuel Macron in 2017. Dimon is handing Macron a triumph now as EU nations vie to take chunks of the financial center forced to shift post-Brexit from the U.K.
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[link=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/30/opinion/northern-ireland-centenary.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes]https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/30/o…mid=tw-nytimes[/link]
NYT opinion —
[h1]Northern Ireland Is Coming to an End[/h1]
The writing is on the wall. While the process by which Ireland could become unified is complicated & fraught, one thing seems certain: There isnt going to be a second centenary for NorthernIreland. It might not even last another decade.NorthernIreland has become more secular & tolerant of diversity, less insular[] Some put energy into global movements like climate justice and feminism plenty neither know nor care about the religious background of their friends
“Protestants, like the rest of NI’s populace, deplore talk of a return to violence. A growing number of them are tentatively contemplating what for previous generations was unthinkable: that a unified Ireland might not actually be the end of the world.”
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I don’t think the process is that hard. Leave your fellow countrymen alone.
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they are now saying the quiet part out aloud.
Brexiteer Kate Hoey states, with zero remorse, I think we all know how we got here, that Northern Ireland was sacrificed because otherwise it could have been that we weren’t going to get Brexit at all.”
[link=https://twitter.com/OxfordDiplomat/status/1432626175248060416]https://twitter.com/Oxfor…us/1432626175248060416[/link]
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[h1][b]Brexit Britain: Isolated and Running on Fumes[/b][/h1]
[link=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-04/why-brexit-britain-is-isolated-vulnerable-and-running-on-fumes?srnd=premium&sref=nXmOg68r]Bloomberg[/link]: Fights break out among angry motorists trying to get fuel. Grocery staples are out of stock on store shelves. A charity warns that doubling heating bills will force a million households to rely on extra blankets to stay warm.
This was supposed to be the year the U.K. broke free of the European Union and forged ahead as a buccaneering free trader, delivering the benefits of a new, confident Global Britain to workers and companies at home. Instead, that picture of Brexit utopia is looking more like a dystopia.As Prime Minister Boris Johnsons Conservative Party gathers at its annual conference this week, the promise of self-determination has given way to a foreboding sense of economic isolation.
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I’m kind of worried about some of these things like groceries too. Like Giant Eagle by us doesn’t even have Gatoraide and has no timeline on getting it in stock. Computer chips and computer stuff still a big problem. We’re way behind on car sales this year.
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Quote from dergon
I think we all know how we got here, that Northern Ireland was sacrificed because otherwise it could have been that we weren’t going to get Brexit at all.”
[link=https://twitter.com/OxfordDiplomat/status/1432626175248060416]https://twitter.com/Oxfor…us/1432626175248060416[/link]
[link=https://twitter.com/DennisNovy/status/1446130555234357259]https://twitter.com/Denni…us/1446130555234357259[/link]
New trade statistics for UK regions
Most striking: EU imports into Northern Ireland soared in 2021 Q2, rising by 34%. By comparison, non-EU imports dropped slightly by 0.6%. Consistent with a reorientation of NI trade and supply chains towards EU away from GB.
Northern Ireland is moving toward Europe … and the Republic of Ireland …while the UK is running out of gas. Totally predictable-
[link=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/oct/12/lord-frost-wants-to-replace-northern-ireland-protocol-with-new-brexit-agreement]https://www.theguardian.c…h-new-brexit-agreement[/link]
[b]UK Brexit Minister: failure to rip up NI protocol would be historic misjudgment[/b]
It doesnt seem unreasonable to us to look at an agreement again if it is obviously not doing what it was designed to achieve.
For the EU now to say the protocol, drawn up in extreme haste, at this time of great uncertainty can never be improved upon when it is so self-evidently causing such difficult problems will be historic misjudgment, he said.
We always sign treaties and in good faith and intend to implement them. I hope thats a given.
But he added: We knew that some aspects of the protocol as it stood when they were agreed in October 2019, we knew that these were problematic. We didnt particularly support them ourselves. We agreed with them because it was the right thing to do for the country overall, he said.
[b]…[/b]
[b]____________[/b]
Threats of a potential UK/EU trade war brewing. UK now threatening to invoke Article 16 over NI. ( Article 16 allows either side to take unilateral action if the protocol is causing serious economic, societal or environmental difficulties that are liable to persist, or diversion of trade.) Provision in the Brexit treaty allow for retaliatory tariffs if either side feels that unilateral Article 16 action is unwarranted.
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[h1][link=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-59198125]Brexit: UK-EU trade deal could collapse over Northern Ireland Dispute[/link][/h1]
The UK’s trade deal with the EU could collapse in a row over Northern Ireland, says a senior Irish minister.
The UK is thought to be preparing to suspend parts of the Northern Ireland Protocol.
Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney hinted the EU could terminate the Trade and Cooperation Agreement in response. He said: “One is contingent on the other so that if one is being set aside there is a danger that the other will also be set aside by the EU.”
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U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson could be ousted from power within the week, after a longtime ally compared him to Neville Chamberlain in a stunning rebuke in the House of Commons on Wednesday, [link=https://www.axios.com/boris-johnson-resignation-david-davis-chamberlain-76020bee-a2d0-4d4d-9002-a4984bb593f0.html]Axios[/link] reports.
Said former minister David Davis: I expect my leaders to shoulder the responsibility for the actions they take. Yesterday he did the opposite of that.
[b]Davis concluded with a quote from Leo Amery to Neville Chamberlain: You have sat there too long for all the good you have done. In the name of God, go.[/b]
Meanwhile, the [link=https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-60046632]BBC[/link] notes Tory MP Christian Wakeford left the Conservatives and walked across the floor to join Labour in another dramatic moment.
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looks like the dominoes are falling fast now.
mass resignations of cabinet members and aides happening over the ast day or two.
Gavin Newsom survived the French Laundry and came out of it stronger. Looks like party-gate is going to take down Bojo-
I figured he was toast a week ago.
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Gavin just survived the NFC Championship game as well. Had to take that shot with Magic. Good state for him.
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[link=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/04/opinion/boris-johnson-party-scandal.html]https://www.nytimes.com/2…son-party-scandal.html[/link]
Funny …
[h1]The First Think You Need to Know about Boris Johnson Is He’s a Liar[/h1]
[link=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/04/opinion/boris-johnson-party-scandal.html]Jonathan Pie[/link] reports in a hilarious new video what many of us suspected all along: Boris Johnson is a liar.
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Watched/listened to that this morning. Spot on accurate.
A problem I have with Boris vs TRump however, is that Boris was never elected into office by the voters/constituents while Trump was. I guess that’s why Boris won’t be able to say his re-election will be stolen.
The problem remains less a problem with “liar” politicians than with the follower voters who support them and their bald lies.-
Quote from dergon
Brexit Brings Upheaval in Northern Ireland:
The New York Times notes a dispute over trading checks has left the main pro-British party in disarray, creating the potential for a momentous political shift.
Assuming that current polls hold, Sinn Fein, with its vestigial ties to the paramilitary Irish Republican Army and fervent commitment to Irish unification, will become the largest party in the Northern Ireland Assembly after elections scheduled for May.
[link=https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-interactive/2022/apr/12/what-a-sinn-fein-win-would-mean-northern-ireland-elections]The Guardian[/link][h1][b]Historical shift for Northern Ireland: [/b][/h1] [b]Polls suggest Sinn Féin on course to win most votes for first time in Stormont elections and provide first minister
[/b]
[link=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/sinn-fein]Sinn Féin[/link], a party that campaigns for a united Ireland, seems likely to win a historic victory, becoming the largest party in Stormont.
The [link=https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2022/lucidtalk-opinion-poll-sinn-feins-michelle-oneill-nudges-closer-to-top-stormont-post-as-dup-lags-behind-41492902.html]latest Northern Irish opinion poll[/link] puts Sinn Féin on 26% of the vote, seven points ahead of the Democratic Unionist party on 19%. The DUP fiercely defends Northern Ireland remaining in the UK.
It would be only the second time in the regions history that a nationalist party (one advocating a united Ireland) will have gained the most first-preference votes*, and the first time nationalists have won the most seats and the right to appoint the first minister.[/QUOTE]
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[link=https://twitter.com/channel4news/status/1526280266616029188?s=21&t=S_geEGtTugGgKFdWEHS01w]https://twitter.com/chann…S_geEGtTugGgKFdWEHS01w[/link]
BoJos defense of the NI protocols
He signed the agreement but hope that the EU wouldnt actually enforce it.
**eyeroll**
“You must be furious with whoever signed up to a deal this bad?”
Boris Johnson wants to make reforms to the Northern Ireland Protocol, @PGMcNamara asks the prime minister why he signed it in the first place? pic.twitter.com/BJkPVuJWK3
— Channel 4 News (@Channel4News) May 16, 2022
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