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  • Biden Approval Ratings

    Posted by btomba_77 on January 26, 2021 at 11:29 am

    Finally getting some in-office Biden approval numbers.
     
    [img]https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2021/01/25150726/210125_Biden-Job-Approval_FULLWIDTH.png[/img]

    [link=https://morningconsult.com/2021/01/25/morning-consult-political-intelligence-biden-job-approval-polling/]https://morningconsult.co…-job-approval-polling/[/link]

    [link=https://morningconsult.com/product/political-intelligence/]Morning Consult Political Intelligence[/link] tracking conducted during the 46th presidents first few days in office shows 56 percent of voters approve of his job performance, while 34 percent disapprove. Bidens approval rating is 4 percentage points higher than the 52 percent who approved of former President Donald Trump in an early [link=https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2017/03/170306_crosstabs_Politico_v3_AG-1.pdf]March 2017 poll[/link] from Morning Consult and Politico his best-ever showing during his presidency and it looks even stronger compared to polling conducted at a similar point four years ago, when 46 percent approved of [link=https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/170103_crosstabs_POLITICO_v3_KD-1.pdf]Trumps initial work[/link].

    ..

    Bidens superior early marks are driven by a more unified base, as well as more support among self-described independent voters: 91 percent of Democrats approve of Bidens initial job performance, compared with 83 percent of Republicans who said the same of Trump in January 2017, and 49 percent of independents back Bidens early approach up 8 points from Trumps four years ago.

    When it comes to his job approval, 18 percent of Republican voters back Bidens early performance, while 71 percent disapprove, similar to the shares of Democrats who said the same of Trump after his inauguration. But, there are signs that their initial dislike of him, at least personally, is weakening after the fierce campaign and brutal transition period. 
    Comparing the latest responses to thousands gathered Jan. 17-19, the share of Republican voters who view Biden favorably increased 3 percentage points, to 18 percent, while the share who held unfavorable views fell 4 points, to 79 percent. The responses from GOP voters gathered before the inauguration had a 1-point margin of error, while the latest polling had a 2-point margin of error among that group.
     
    That improvement along with similar gains among independents contributed to Biden yielding his highest favorability rating among the overall population since Morning Consult began daily tracking of the metric in May 2020. According to the latest polling, 58 percent of voters hold favorable views of the new president (up 3 points since before his inauguration) while 38 percent hold unfavorable opinions (down 4 points), giving Biden a bigger popularity bounce [link=https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/29/biden-carries-post-dnc-image-boost-into-the-first-presidential-debate/]than the one[/link] he saw after his successful 2020 party convention.

    [/QUOTE]
     

    tdetlie_105 replied 3 years, 4 months ago 12 Members · 104 Replies
  • 104 Replies
  • kayla.meyer_144

    Member
    January 26, 2021 at 11:40 am

    The genuine “stable” genius, Biden.

    • btomba_77

      Member
      January 27, 2021 at 4:36 am

      [link=https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/535742-poll-president-bidens-first-approval-of-his-term-at-63-percent]https://thehill.com/hillt…his-term-at-63-percent[/link]

      First Hill/Harris polls: [b]Biden approval 63%[/b]

      [img]https://thehill.com/sites/default/files/wat_01252021.jpg[/img]

      Ninety-four percent of Democratic voters approve of Biden’s job as president, along with 62 percent of independents. 
      Seventy percent of Republican voters, however, disapprove of Biden’s performance so far.
      [/QUOTE]
       

      • btomba_77

        Member
        January 27, 2021 at 4:36 am

        RCP now has Biden column up

        Real Clear Politics: [link=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html]President Biden Job Approval[/link]

        • kaldridgewv2211

          Member
          January 27, 2021 at 9:03 am

          70% of republicans don’t approve of the job just shows you what kind of garbage people are in the republican party.  I guess they’re all suffering under tanking stock markets, and the socialism/communism Biden has forced upon them.

  • btomba_77

    Member
    January 27, 2021 at 10:38 am

    A new [link=https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_012721/]Monmouth poll[/link] finds Joe Biden begins his term with a positive job rating of 54% approve and 30% disapprove.

    Biden begins his term with a positive job rating of 54% approve and 30% disapprove. Another 16% have no opinion. The current presidential rating is already higher than it was at any point during Donald Trumps term in office. Still, opinion of the incumbent is sharply divided along partisan lines 90% of Democrats, 47% of independents, and just 15% of Republicans approve of Biden.
     
    Six in ten (61%) Americans feel optimistic about the policies Biden will pursue as president, while 35% feel pessimistic. The public is somewhat more positive than it was four years ago as Donald Trump was about to take office, when 50% were optimistic and 43% were pessimistic. Political optimism, however, is a partisan creature. While 95% of Democrats are optimistic about Bidens policies, just 18% of Republicans feel the same. In the days before Trump was sworn in, 90% of Republicans were optimistic, compared with 18% of Democrats.

    The poll also finds the job rating for Congress at 35% approve and 51% disapprove and opinion of the [b]nations trajectory at 42% the right direction and 51% the wrong track. While the net scores on these questions are negative, they actually represent the most positive marks for both since Monmouth began tracking them nationally in 2013. [/b]The prior high Congressional rating was 32% approve and 55% disapprove in April and May last year during the early days of the coronavirus pandemic. The prior high point for the path the country is on was 40% right direction and 53% wrong track in June 2018.

    Most Americans (71%) would rather see Republicans in Congress find ways to work together with Biden than to focus on keeping Biden in check (25%). The desire for bipartisan cooperation is higher than it was just after the November election (62%), and includes 41% of Republicans (up from 28% in November) as well as 70% of independents (68%) and 94% of Democrats (92%). The poll finds that 6 in 10 Americans have at least some confidence that Biden will be able to get Washington to be more cooperative, although just 21% are very confident while 39% are somewhat confident. Still, this is slightly better than in November (13% very and 38% somewhat confident).
    [/QUOTE]

    [img]https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/wp-content/uploads/sites/22/2021/01/Issue-Chart-Jan2021.jpg[/img]
     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    January 28, 2021 at 8:26 am

    [link=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/]FiveThirtyEight[/link] is now tracking President Joe Bidens approval rate.

    • btomba_77

      Member
      January 28, 2021 at 5:47 pm

      [link=https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2021/1/28/fifty-seven-percent-of-voters-approve-of-biden-in-his-first-week-as-president]Data for Progress[/link] 
       
      FIFTY-SEVEN PERCENT OF VOTERS APPROVE OF BIDEN IN HIS FIRST WEEK AS PRESIDENT  

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 1, 2021 at 5:23 am

    [h1][b]Bidens Approval Rating Is Trumps in Reverse[/b][/h1]  
    [link=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/01/us/politics/biden-approval-rating-trump.html]New York Times[/link]: Bidens net approval rating is lower than that of any incoming president since the dawn of modern polling, except for his predecessor, Donald Trump. Its just another clear sign that weve entered a new era of partisanship: Media fragmentation and the hard-line politics it has helped foster may make it impossible for any leader to become a true consensus figure.
     
    But it also bears noting that Bidens approval rating is basically a reverse image of Trumps. In addition to being loathed by Republicans and embraced by Democrats, hes firmly in positive territory among independents who had consistently disapproved of Trumps performance.
     

    • 19462008

      Member
      February 2, 2021 at 4:09 pm

      Wait… The Biden Trial has started yet. It hasn’t been 100 days yet. Tuff questions haven’t  been asked to Joe yet. Psaki needs to stop saying “Let me come back to that”. The new Immigration Caravan hasn’t come to our boarders yet and Joe hasn’t condemned the Hondurans for stopping the Guatemalans from getting here and seeking freedom. C’mon man.  

      • btomba_77

        Member
        February 3, 2021 at 1:36 pm

        [b]Most Americans Optimistic About Biden[/b][/h1]  
         
        A new [link=https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3688]Quinnipiac poll[/link] finds that two weeks into Joe Bidens presidency of Joe Biden, a majority of Americans say, 61% to 34%, say that they are generally optimistic about the next four years with Biden as president.
         
        Said pollster Tim Malloy: Amid a palpable uncertainty about the months and even years ahead, there is a sense that President Biden is the man for the moment. And that moment cant come too soon.

         

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 4, 2021 at 8:37 am

    A new [link=https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-us-news-coronavirus-pandemic-8b5b95c85f7bff1cf71e21e4b71a2a88]AP-NORC poll[/link] finds 61% approve of President Joe Bidens handling of his job in his first days in office.
     
    Even at a moment of deep national divisions, those numbers suggest Biden, as with most of his recent predecessors, may enjoy something of a honeymoon period. Nearly all modern presidents have had approval ratings averaging 55% or higher over their first three months in office, according to Gallup polling. There was one exception: Donald Trump, whose approval rating never surpassed 50% in Gallup polls, even at the start of his presidency.
     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 4, 2021 at 9:06 am

    One little data point to watch for the Biden Presidency. Here is the start:

    [h1]U.S. Satisfaction at Lowest Level in 20 Years[/h1]  
    [link=https://news.gallup.com/poll/329279/satisfaction-sinks-aspects-public-life.aspx]Gallup[/link]: Americans satisfaction with seven broad aspects of the way the country functions is collectively at its lowest in two decades of Gallup measurement. This includes satisfaction with the overall quality of life in the U.S., assessments of government, corporate and religious influence, and perceptions of the economic and moral climates.
     
    The average percentage satisfied with these seven dimensions has plunged to 39% at the start of 2021.

    [img]https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/cjvdqnvruuctkhcwdempug.png[/img]
     

    • btomba_77

      Member
      February 5, 2021 at 4:40 am

       [link=https://news.gallup.com/poll/329348/biden-begins-term-job-approval.aspx]Gallup poll[/link] finds 57% of Americans approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president.

      • kayla.meyer_144

        Member
        February 5, 2021 at 8:29 am

        One thing – among others – that I am very happy about with the election and since Biden took office is the amount of chaos and vitriol is very much down. No more every single day wondering what kind of excrement will be coming from the former administration and the supporters. The world does not feel on the verge of being pushed over a cliff every single day anymore. COVID is much less a political opinion anymore and is rightfully a public healthcare issue as it should be. No more coddling murdering dictators anymore with praise from a party and president preaching their praises and how masculine and admirable these dictators are compared to the “feminine” opposition. How thought not perfect, the world is much more rational again.
         
        Almost boring. Like returning from a war to home where there is no war. Adjustment is required.
         
        Things are looking better & optimistic again. Hope it is not just a honeymoon.

        • kaldridgewv2211

          Member
          February 5, 2021 at 8:32 am

          The poop show has shifted to congress. Specifically the party of Q.

          • btomba_77

            Member
            February 7, 2021 at 4:26 pm

            [h1][b]Big Majority Approve of Bidens Pandemic Response[/b][/h1] Two in 3 Americans approve of President Bidens handling of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a poll by [link=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/02/07/biden-coronavirus-response-poll/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=wp_politics]ABC News-Ipsos[/link], with widespread support for his efforts to pass a relief bill.

            Bidens 67% approval on handling the coronavirus contrasts sharply with how Americans felt President Donald Trump handled the pandemic. In October, 61% said they disapproved of Trumps response to the coronavirus.
             

            • clickpenguin_460

              Member
              February 7, 2021 at 4:29 pm

              That’s interesting because I can’t think of one thing that’s really changed in the response since he took office – except for the media coverage.

              • kaldridgewv2211

                Member
                February 7, 2021 at 4:38 pm

                I think he did his mandate on wearing masks in airports etc… anything in jurisdiction. Theyve 180d on the messaging. He also used defense production act for supplies.

                • btomba_77

                  Member
                  February 7, 2021 at 5:17 pm

                  Communicating your plan to the citizenry matters.
                   
                  Staying on message matters.
                   
                  Not getting distracted by petty issues that give citizens the impression you don’t care matters.
                   
                  Not repeatedly contradicting or trashing public health experts matters.
                   
                  Putting those public health experts front and center matters.
                   
                  Showing empathy towards the people who are suffering matters.
                   
                  Even if Biden had taken no specific actions, these simple acts, when combined with his pre-existing narrative of empathetic experienced competence would have set Biden in a good place for public approval of his pandemic response.
                   
                  Add in a ramping up vaccination schedule and a lack of WTF stories about failed logistics or in-fighting or spoiled batches or withholding doses from a governor who tweeted something mildly critical about you … and you get to 2/3 approval.
                   
                  Only the haters are hating.

                  • kaldridgewv2211

                    Member
                    February 7, 2021 at 5:43 pm

                    Well said. Anyone who doesnt see change isnt paying attention.

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 14, 2021 at 5:18 am

    [link=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/11/biden-gets-62percent-approval-in-cnbc-economic-survey-topping-first-ratings-of-the-last-four-presidents.html?utm_content=Main&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1613154636]https://www.cnbc.com/2021…ter#Echobox=1613154636[/link]

    [h1]Biden gets 62% approval in CNBC economic survey, topping first ratings of the last four presidents[/h1]
    [img]https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/106839064-1613043715103-presdientuse.png?v=1613043724&w=740&h=244[/img]

    The survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, also found strong support for several of Bidens key issues, including his proposed $1.9 trillion relief bill, hiking the minimum wage, expanding health coverage and battling inequality.

    other findings –
    [ul][*]Corporate donations: By a 63-37% margin, Americans support the decision of corporations to halt donations to members of Congress who voted against certifying the election[*]Climate Change: 59% believe climate change is a serious problem that should be addressed and by a 50-30% margin, they support rejoining the Paris climate accords.[*]Made in America: 64% said they are more likely to buy a product made in America and 70% said they are willing to pay more for such a product. But it appears as if paying 10% more is a threshold where Americans would be unwilling to pay more for a U.S.-made product. [/ul]

    [/QUOTE]
     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 16, 2021 at 5:54 am

     New [link=https://twitter.com/Morning_Joe/status/1361643872183603201?s=20]Politico/Morning Consult poll[/link] finds President Joe Biden with a 62% to 33% approval rating.
     
     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 22, 2021 at 8:29 am

    Biden 538 average ticks up tp 55% total on a strong ARG poll 

    [link]https://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/[/link]

    Highly polarized with near universal approval from Democrats – 

    Overall, 58% of Americans say that they approve of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president, 34% disapprove, and 8% are undecided.

    Among Republicans (28% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 25% of all adults in the survey), 11% approve of the way Biden is handling his job and 83% disapprove. Among Democrats (37% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 33% of all adults in the survey), 97% approve and 2% disapprove of the way Biden is handling his job. Among independents (35% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 32% of all adults in the survey), 57% approve and 29% disapprove of the way Biden is handling his job as president.

    [/QUOTE]

  • btomba_77

    Member
    February 24, 2021 at 8:26 am

    [link=https://polls.saintleo.edu/new-saint-leo-polling-survey-shows-six-out-of-10-americans-like-bidens-job-performance-so-far/]https://polls.saintleo.ed…ob-performance-so-far/[/link]

    First state level polling for Biden I have seen post-election.   Compares hi FL numbers to national.

    Biden FL:  56/35

    Biden National: 61/31

  • btomba_77

    Member
    March 5, 2021 at 12:15 pm

    [link=https://apnews.com/article/ap-norc-poll-americans-largely-back-biden-virus-response-d365bff571c24f9d3575bcbd051780aa]The Associated Press and NORC Center for Public Affairs Research[/link] poll:

    Biden approval 60%

    70% approve handling of the pandemic.

    • kaldridgewv2211

      Member
      March 5, 2021 at 12:17 pm

      looks like his first month in office added a lot of jobs.  Not that it’s all him but good news.

      • btomba_77

        Member
        March 5, 2021 at 12:21 pm

        Quote from DICOM_Dan

        looks like his first month in office added a lot of jobs.  Not that it’s all him but good news.

        Lucky timing.
         
        But … Trump rode a growth economy for 3.5 years … until he coudn’t.
         
        Presidents get credit for the economy when it’s good and blame when it’s bad.
         
        A couple $ trillion in Covid relief/stimulus and then maybe another couple trillion in infrastructure should put growth on an upward trajectory for a good long while…. unless there is another black swan event.

        • clickpenguin_460

          Member
          March 5, 2021 at 12:41 pm

          Any concern about the national debt and/or hyperinflation from you guys?  Seriously asking.  
           
          I’m a fan of infrastructure spending but that process needs to change.  Infrastructure costs are higher here than anywhere else in the world.  Would go a long way to pair new money with some cut down in regulation and crony contracts.

          • btomba_77

            Member
            March 5, 2021 at 12:55 pm

            Yes.
             
            But I only see debt being addressed in a broadly bipartisan manner so that everyone walks the plank together.  Something like Simpson-Bowles redux.
             
             
            But I do think that Dem debt is much better than GOP debt.  If Democrats can get  3-4% GDP bump from their deficit funded stimulus that is a *much* better proposition for the nation and its people than getting a 0.2% bump from the deficit funded Trump tax cuts.
             
             
            I honestly believe that for most Republicans…if you gave them truth serum… would say the national debt isn’t near their top reason for opposing the Biden plan. They oppose it because it puts Dem priorities first and, importantly, because it is *very* likely to be *very* effective economically and thus politically.
             
             
             
            (edit: I would that the time to tackle the debt was 2016-2019. You need government counter-cyclical deficit spending when you are in bad times and recovering.  You should look to take in more revenue when the economy is strong, the markets are stable, and you are near full employment.  The Trump administration and the GOP went the exact opposite direction.  At least in the current 2021 environemt the majority of economic experts believe we still need relief/stimulus to crawl out of the hole … still 10 million jobs to go)
             

            • kaldridgewv2211

              Member
              March 5, 2021 at 1:05 pm

              A lot of them are the same priorities they favored when Trump when in office.  Also on the inflation front I don’t think you’ll see this massive uptake in the sales of goods.  People need money to pay for housing, and food.  buying 6 pairs of JNKOs isn’t top of the list.

              • clickpenguin_460

                Member
                March 5, 2021 at 1:11 pm

                I agree that everyone needs to walk the plank together.  I’m very concerned about the debt and future hyperinflation though.
                 
                I think my issue with the current bill is that I would like to see the previous funds used first and then see where we are at.  I’m not convinced of the timing/need right now.  But if there was still a struggle in the Fall then perhaps another stimulus is needed.
                 
                I’m also annoyed by the partisan crap in the bill but that’s every bill.

                • kaldridgewv2211

                  Member
                  March 5, 2021 at 1:18 pm

                  We’ve been at like 0% interest for borrowing money for a while.  No crazy inflation from that.

                  • clickpenguin_460

                    Member
                    March 5, 2021 at 1:47 pm

                    So why not spend 5 trillion?  Why not 10?  Why 1.9?

                    • Unknown Member

                      Deleted User
                      March 5, 2021 at 1:51 pm

                      Republicans are only concerned about the debt when a democrat is president

                      They enjoy republicans overspending

                    • clickpenguin_460

                      Member
                      March 5, 2021 at 2:00 pm

                      As far as I’m concerned, both parties are unconcerned and both parties have ruined us for generations to come. I do NOT enjoy overspending and I abhor wasteful spending even more.

                    • leann2001nl

                      Member
                      March 5, 2021 at 3:07 pm

                      Its printing money out of thin air, by definition has to lead to inflation. They cannot create value. 
                       
                      Not sure about hyperinflation but it’s also naive to think we can infinitely print money with no consequence.  
                       
                      Polls about american satisfaction in the midst of a pandemic which has basically locked everyone inside for a year aren’t worth the paper they are printed on. The lack of insight is shocking. The numbers from 2020 on that chart are essentially at the historical averages and then it takes a nosedive for 2021, hm I wonder why? 

                  • btomba_77

                    Member
                    March 5, 2021 at 3:50 pm

                    Quote from DICOM_Dan

                    We’ve been at like 0% interest for borrowing money for a while.  No crazy inflation from that.

                    Quote from Cubsfan10

                    So why not spend 5 trillion?  Why not 10?  Why 1.9?

                     
                    $1.9 T is both an economic (inexact) number and a totally of the Biden recommendations for pandemic management and economic recovery during the 2020 campaign.
                     
                     
                    There were no major economists calling for $5 or $10 T recovery packages. It would have seemed unserious and would thus not have received the needed political support to pass as legislation or to help win during the campaign.
                     
                    Also, the entire Biden team knows that this stimulus is going to be inflationary.  It’s not that there is no inflation and therefore no amount of money will cause inflation.  It’s that they are making a bet that this amount of stimulus is unlikely to cause run-away inflation and that the economic benefit from it far outweighs the inflation risk.
                     
                    Add to that the fact that we have been in a deflationary/ disinflationary period for a good long time, they feel that a moderate amount of inflation from the stimulus will be well tolerated in this environment.
                     
                     
                    Finally, the Biden team and most economists are looking at the experience of the Obama years coming out of the financial crisis. They see the stimulus done then as being [b]far[/b] too small… and that the result of that was a weak economic recovery that took a decade to replace all the jobs.
                     
                    The Biden team doesn’t want to have t owait 10 years to get back the 10 millions jobs we are still down… and they don’t want to be looking at 2% GDP growth that takes us years and years to get back to pre-pandemic output.  
                     
                     
                     
                    Put the politics, the campaign promises, the past experience, and the economic recommendations all together… then let it go through the congressional sausage making process… and you end up with a pretty decent bill that Democrats can pass with their narrow majority.

                    • clickpenguin_460

                      Member
                      March 5, 2021 at 4:38 pm

                      So you dont care that only 10% of it goes to covid and theres 1 trillion left unspent from the prior bills?

                    • btomba_77

                      Member
                      March 5, 2021 at 4:53 pm

                      I consider stimulus check to be Covid relief. I consider expanded unemployment ot be Covid relief.
                       
                      That said, the bill is meant to be both a Covid bill and an economic recovery bill.  
                       
                      I have absolutely no problem with non-Covid stimulus…. and neither does the vast majority of the rest of the country
                       
                      As for the $1 trillion left unspent 
                       
                       
                      [link=https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/steve-scalise/has-1-trillion-covid-19-relief-gone-unspent/]https://www.politifact.co…9-relief-gone-unspent/[/link]

  • btomba_77

    Member
    March 10, 2021 at 9:23 am

    [link=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/410602-poll-shows-support-but-vulnerability-for-marco-rubio]https://floridapolitics.c…bility-for-marco-rubio[/link]

    [b]Biden underwater in Florida[/b]

    In Florida, 47% of registered voters approve of Bidens job performance, and 49% dont, according to Mason-Dixon.

    [/QUOTE]

    More on Florida, already looking toward 2024 …. redder and reddr

    [link=https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2021/02/18/what-happened-florida-has-already-sounded-a-2024-warning-for-joe-biden/]https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/u…warning-for-joe-biden/[/link]

    Unfortunately, it is difficult to imagine how Democrats can improve upon their 2020 performance in the state. In 22 counties, Bidens Florida vote exceeded the number of registered Democrats in the county, and in a further 13 counties his vote exceeded 90 percent of the number of registered Democrats. While rural areas in Florida are not growing as quickly as urban areas, the growth of heavily-Republican counties such as Sumter County, and the potential to convert and turn out the remaining Dixiecrats in the state, means Republican candidates will be able to easily build on their turnout successes in 2016 and 2020. Biden has no such deep well of voters in Florida.]

    Instead, Biden may have to appeal to former Trump voters, [link=https://news.gallup.com/poll/329348/biden-begins-term-job-approval.aspx]but recent Gallup polling shows that Bidens approval among Republicans is at 11 percent[/link], the lowest level of opposition-party support for a new President going back to Eisenhower. It is unclear, at least to me, how Bidens support grows. Perhaps the rebound in the economy, associated with massive stimulus plans, improves his standing with Trump voters, [link=https://www.pejones.org/publication/2020_pobe/2020_PoBe.pdf]although[/link] a [link=https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/1065912916684031?casa_token=XjPI8Cpdor4AAAAA:AoOs2ascTrGvscqR-jxXgmcOLa9a0jNMUYm_MIDyRFfu0lrUjXS5FbnlZZ5ErF5Y59mn1Y97DCkr]large[/link] academic [link=https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00424.x?casa_token=e9uWXq42PhkAAAAA:gtx3SaVh-XxKIMqr3g9EjDihRmEdzLzgYx6edPOe1Nl8f3nmXA8wjQZ6_j2_s1-qlPMtJx-LRyQY4xQ]literature[/link] suggests [link=https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ssqu.12662?casa_token=L7v44RpidbMAAAAA:bj1JKF3Z0cEz9_brFqkCLkEjLWUQkcae_9ZWn3M75evJjJQM9ggroh6WNtnsTxUCHtpLVZu2gcPSLto]that[/link] voters [link=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A:1021226224601]evaluate[/link] economic [link=https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1086/681591?casa_token=lAZudEFnuMwAAAAA:nSBeC9f-gONcau-dEfO2WVX5RNEtdSLaOLqKPx1V23J5rU6V0ut-j_qGo2TxVS-IzohhT7HLrrs]conditions[/link] through [link=https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0192512120915907?casa_token=7Y7IX_EFgtsAAAAA:I-WnDh75HAxeZEkzHUZblPiytv_ZyNA_ATZEchW9NQSoUWZe_6icVWRde–lyVfplOPB141UwPQ0]a partisan[/link] lens.

    [/QUOTE]

  • btomba_77

    Member
    March 11, 2021 at 8:21 am

    [b]Biden Gets High Marks on Handling Pandemic[/b][/h1]  
     
    A new [link=https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1369984905854263298]CBS News/YouGov poll[/link] finds 75% of Americans approve of Congress passing President Bidens pandemic relief plan, including large majorities of Democrats and independents, along with nearly half of Republicans.
     
    Bidens approval rate on handling the pandemic is 67% to 33%.

     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    March 15, 2021 at 7:44 am

    [link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-should-still-pay-attention-to-joe-bidens-approval-rating/]Geoffrey Skelley[/link]:

    [h1]Why You Should Still Pay Attention To Joe Bidens Approval Rating[/h1]

     
    …we do need to recalibrate our expectations of presidential approval ratings. Theyre just not going to move [i]that[/i] much in [link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-longer-can-this-era-of-political-gridlock-last/]our hyper-polarized political climate.[/link] But that doesnt mean approval ratings arent a useful window into how the public broadly views a presidents performance. Or that they cant still signal a change in political fortunes. And once we move past the presidency, approval ratings of other American leaders, such as governors, see wider ranges of support largely because partisanship isnt quite as baked in [link=https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X18792694?journalCode=aprb]at the state level[/link].

     the important takeaway here is not that shifts in presidential approval cant still happen. They can. We just need to adjust our expectations of how big these swings will be. Observers might have once looked for swings of 10 or more percentage points to gauge how the public responded to an especially big event like Ronald Reagans double-digit decline [link=https://news.gallup.com/vault/198164/gallup-vault-reaction-iran-contra-years-ago.aspx]after the Iran-Contra affair became public[/link]  but that just isnt a useful barometer anymore. 

    Long story short: Big swings in presidential approval are probably a thing of the past. But small shifts in a presidents approval rating can still indicate meaningful changes in opinion that may foreshadow future electoral outcomes.[link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-should-still-pay-attention-to-joe-bidens-approval-rating/#fn-3]3[/sup][/link] For instance, the fact that Trumps approval rating was stuck in the lows 40s for almost his entire presidency suggested real electoral vulnerability. And it was a big reason why Democrats flipped the House in the 2018 midterms and Trump didnt win reelection in 2020. Had Trump managed to get his approval north of 45 percent by Election Day 2020, he very well may have won, considering [link=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-swing-states/]the narrow margins in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin[/link] and [link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/even-though-biden-won-republicans-enjoyed-the-largest-electoral-college-edge-in-70-years-will-that-last/]Republicans advantage in the Electoral College[/link]. We shouldnt read too much into Bidens approval rating at this point, but the fact that he is starting out in a stronger position than Trump, with an approval rating in the low 50s, is a good sign for him. If he can maintain an approval rating in that vicinity or marginally raise it by a couple of points that could help Democrats limit [link=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-2020-gains-in-the-house-set-them-up-well-for-2022/]the typical midterm losses[/link] for the presidents party in 2022 and help Biden win reelection in 2024.

    [/QUOTE]
     
     

  • btomba_77

    Member
    March 17, 2021 at 4:14 am

    [h1]Bidens Approval Stays High[/h1]  
    A new [link=https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000178-3d74-dd22-a17a-fdf4a9a10000]Politico/Morning Consult poll[/link] finds President Joe Bidens approval rate at 62%
     
    The poll also finds 72% support the new pandemic relief law.
     
    [link=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2021/03/17/scoop-gop-to-accuse-biden-of-unlawful-border-actions-492140?nname=playbook&nid=0000014f-1646-d88f-a1cf-5f46b7bd0000&nrid=0000014e-f0ed-dd93-ad7f-f8edad790000&nlid=630318]Playbook[/link]: As Biden and co. hit the road to sell the Covid relief package, its not going to take much work.

    538 average is 54%/40%
     

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