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  • btomba_77

    Member
    August 29, 2023 at 10:19 am

    so it’s not all doom and gloom –
     
    [link=https://www.messageboxnews.com/p/why-the-2024-race-is-tied-right-now?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=65026&post_id=136484860&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email]Dan Pfeiffer[/link]: 
     
    Its easy to look at these numbers and immediately start hyperventilating into a paper bag, but consider these few points. First, my approach to politics since 2016 has been worry about everything, panic about nothing, and poll numbers this far out from the election fit into the moderate worry category. Second, [b]President Biden is in better shape politically than President Obama was at this juncture.[/b] August of 2011 was the first (and only) time Obamas approval dropped below 40%, and in our internal polling, he was losing to a generic Republican. Finally, the point of this exercise is not to bemoan Bidens political standing or find reasons to curl up into the fetal position under our desks. This is a roadmap for how to reconstitute the anti-MAGA majority that delivered the House, Senate and White House from 2018-2022.
     
     

     
    These {weak} numbers {with young voters} are probably not a surprise to folks who pay attention. Young voters are a challenge for Biden. He started off the 2020 general election underperforming with that group and ended up generating high levels of turnout and support. It will take a lot of work, but Biden did it before and I am confident he can do it again.
     
     

     
    A viable third-party candidate like Larry Hogan or Cornell West is more damaging to Biden than Trump and could be what puts Trump over the top.
     
     
     
    Yet another incredibly close race with the fate of democracy on the line is an unsettling and exhausting notion. Its no fun to reflect on that prospect in the waning weeks of summer. Still, we must understand why the polling looks the way it does and formulate a strategy for how to invest our time and resources as the campaign heats up this fall.