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2020 House and Senate Congressional races outcomes
Lots of interesting races with control of the Senate on the line.
Unless things really change, Dems will hold the House. (current generic ballot is Dem +8, similar to what it was for the 2018 midterms)
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The Senate has a bunch of tight races. I figure Doug Jones is a goner in AL since he’s running against someone who *isn’t* Roy Moore, so Dems would need to win 4 other seats in order to re-take the senate (should they win the Presidency)
McSally looks to be in trouble in AZ going against astronaut Mark Kelly.
Cory Garner looks to be in real trouble in CO, but Hickenlooper has stumbled late heading into the primary.
Tillis is at risk NC, but polling like a toss-up.
Susan Collings approval has dropped in 30s in ME and she’s facing the hardest race she’s had.
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Bullock running in MT gives Dems a chance a big pick-up there.
Ernst in IA also could lose if Iowa turns out to be as close as the polling suggests.
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It would have to be a real landslid-ish year for Dems to pick either GA seat.
They should be able to hold MI, MN, and NM.
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2 Replies
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there’s 2 that I’m interested in. McConnell vs McGrath. Can she pull it off. Seems like she’s a strong candidate. Graham vs Harrison. Not sure what’s going on their. Jamie Harrison seems like a strong candidate too.
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MI-3 (Justin Amash’s vacated seat)
[link=https://nmcdn.io/e186d21f8c7946a19faed23c3da2f0da/7c9798eaafd54081881797bf9a163295/files/research/MI-03-Poll-091520.pdf]Global Strategy Group*[/link] (Dem pollster)
400 LV
Hillary Scholten (D) 41%/ 41% Meijer (R)
The district is Cook PVI R+6
I post this one because there is no incumbent and it seems to fit with a national generic ballot in the D +6-7 range.
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